Bitcoin · 4-hour

BTC 4-hour up/down — order-book data

A BTC 4-hour up/down market is a binary prediction market that resolves on whether Bitcoin's price is higher or lower at the end of a 4-hour window than at its open. A new contract opens and settles every 4 hours, so the order book turns over continuously. DepthFeed captures the full bid/ask ladder of these markets on Polymarket and Limitless — every level, not just the top of book — alongside the underlying BTC spot price.

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The archive behind this page

First-party figures measured June 21, 2026.

  • 450 million

    Polymarket archive. order-book snapshots across 380,000+ markets since January 2026 on the longest-running series

  • 1.5 billion

    Kalshi archive. order-book snapshots across 2,600,000+ markets since January 2026

  • 640 million

    All venues. combined snapshots (incl. 22,788,381 on Limitless), as of June 21, 2026

Markets / Bitcoin

Live snapshot: refreshed hourly
BTC spot $83,104
Polymarket price-to-beat $83,338.6

Venue coverage

VenueWindowWhat we captureHistory from
Polymarket4-hourFull bid/ask depth + underlying price, sub-secondJanuary 2026 on the longest-running series
Limitless4-hourFull bid/ask depth + underlying price, sub-secondrolling history

Specification

AssetBitcoin (BTC)
Horizon4-hour (settles every 4 hours)
Market typeBinary up/down (Up pays if higher at settlement)
Venues capturedPolymarket and Limitless
CapturedFull order-book depth — every level, both sides
Reference priceBTC spot, joined to each snapshot
AccessREST API + live WebSocket stream

Bitcoin · 4-hour

BTC 4-hour up/down — order-book data

  1. How BTC 4-hour up/down markets work

    Each contract references Bitcoin's price at the moment the window opens (the "price to beat"). The "Up" side pays out if the settlement price is above that level; the "Down" side pays if it is below. Because the window is only 4-hour, pricing tracks short-term BTC momentum and implied volatility very tightly.On a binary market the Up and Down prices are complements: a bid of p on Up is an offer of 1 − p on Down. That is why we capture both sides of the book — the depth on the opposite side is what sets the true implied probability, and it is invisible if you only record last-trade prices.

  2. What DepthFeed captures for these markets

    For every BTC 4-hour market on Polymarket and Limitless, DepthFeed records the complete order book — all resting bid and ask levels and their sizes — on a sub-second cadence, then joins each snapshot to the underlying BTC spot price at the same instant. Settled markets keep their final book and resolution, so you can study how depth and the implied probability moved into settlement.Everything is served over the same REST API and live WebSocket stream as the rest of DepthFeed, addressed by coin and window — there is nothing market-specific to learn.

Pull the full order book

Pull the full order book for BTC 4-hour markets over a REST API and live WebSocket. Free Explorer tier, no card.

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